Good Tuesday afternoon, satellite and radar composite is showing clouds on the increase, but skies remain mostly sunny to partly cloudy in the eastern part of the state, that extra sunshine have quickly warmed things up as you will see in just a second. Back to the west, a broken line of showers and storms continuing to push towards the western part of the state.
Noon time temperatures, where there’s been sun, there’s been warmth, 81 in Muncie, 80 Marion, and 82 in Shelbyville. Where the clouds have hung around a bit, 74 in Lafayette and Terre Haute.
The updated Convective Outlook, has all but the southwest portion of the state under a slight risk of severe storms for this afternoon. Southwest Indiana been downgraded to a marginal risk of severe storms. Even with the sunshine this morning, especially in the eastern portion of the state, still think this is a bit overdone, as I believe much of the state should be under a marginal risk at best. Still think that isolated strong to severe storms are possible and not expecting anything widespread. The Severe Risk Index for the afternoon and early evening hours, still thinking the primary risk for any severe storm will be damaging winds, and still can not rule out an isolated tornado, though thinking that threat is also on the decrease.
Here’s a look at what the radar could look like through the afternoon hours, and this is a bit overdone but you can see by 2pm we are expecting showers and thunderstorms to be in the area. An isolated severe storm could be possible by this time. By 3pm, some of the stronger storms could be between Indy and Muncie. Storms will be moving to the northeast. A secondary line of showers and storms could develop by this time in Central Illinois. 4pm, the worse of the storms could be impacting Muncie, Indy areas points eastward, this is also when the severe storms could be at its peak during this time. Clearing possible back to the west. Line continues to push to the northeast and should begin to quiet down gradually. By 6pm, the line have pushed into Ohio, meanwhile, the potential of a secondary line is developing in eastern Illinois. This line will move to the east. By 8pm, line has moved into Western Indiana, but as we lose daytime heating, think this line will gradually weaken and could be just a few showers if anything by the time it reaches Indy.
Forecast for the rest of today, showers and thunderstorms likely, some possibly severe with highs in the lower 80s.
Finally, a look into the Day Planner for Wednesday, I mentioned in the title that there is a marginal risk of severe storms on Wednesday, it will be mainly during the heating of the day during the afternoon hours, as an isolated storm could produce some damaging winds. Will have more on that threat tomorrow. Will have updates on the threat for this afternoon on the Facebook page and the Twitter page, you can also see my Twitter feed on the home page. Have a great rest of your afternoon.
Thoughts on major weather events, severe weather events, and/or changes to the company.