Good morning, we are watching for the potential for a late season winter storm to affect portions of northern and central Indiana and southwestern Ohio beginning Friday night and lasting through Saturday night to early Sunday morning. Winter Storm Watches have already been posted from northwest Indiana to southwest Ohio as you can see below. Watches will go in effect beginning Friday night and last through late Saturday night.
There's several scenarios that can play out, but we will show you what two different weather models are showing. The first model is from the American model, the GFS. This model suggests that precipitation in the form of rain will move into southwest Indiana as early as Friday evening and spread northeast. Portions of central and northern Indiana into southwest Ohio will likely remain all snow during the event, with a small chance of mixing in with rain at times. According to the GFS model, this would suggest snowfall totals anywhere between 4 inches to as much as a foot along the I-74 corridor. This would make very difficult travel on Saturday.
The other model run we will look at will be the European model and the model I'm currently favoring right now will bring the onset of rainfall to southwest Indiana a little bit later Friday and evening and spread northeast. As the precipitation shield continues to spread northeast, there could be a mix of freezing rain, especially south of I-70 along a Bloomington-Seymour-Madison line, with snowfall further northeast. Moderate to heavy snowfall will continue along and northeast of the I-74 corridor before ending by early Sunday morning. The Euro model also suggesting that precipitation could changeover to rain before ending, not so sure about that part of the equation, but at the same time, could be the reason why the Euro is suggesting over snowfall potential to be a little less. The Euro model put suggested snowfall totals between 2 to 10 inches of snow, again with the highest totals along the I-74 corridor.
While both models put the highest snowfall totals and greatest impacts along the I-74 corridor, any shift of the track either to the northeast or southwest will have significant impacts regarding where the heaviest snowfall totals will be. A track further northeast will bring warmer air further northeast and bring the highest snowfall totals north of the I-74 corridor and a track further south will bring higher totals closer to the I-70 corridor with lesser totals along the I-74 corridor. We will continue to keep a close eye on this weather situation closely and we plan on having our first snowfall map later this afternoon once the new model data comes in and we have a chance to analyze the data. Have a great rest of your morning!
Thoughts on major weather events, severe weather events, and/or changes to the company.